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The Stoke City vs. Brighton verdict leans heavily in favor of the visitors, but with not too good form away from home, coach Roberto De Zerbi will have an easy game.
Stoke City vs. Brighton: Seagulls Challenge
Steven Schumacher has made an impressive start to life as Stoke City manager, with his new side winning 1 and drawing 3 of their last 4 games, including a goalless draw with 10 men against Ipswich Town on New Year’s Day. It was a game in which Jordan Thompson received an unnecessary red card midway through the second half, but the home side fought valiantly for more than 20 minutes to earn a 0-0 draw.
Stoke remain 19th in the Championship table, 7 points ahead of the bottom 3 teams, before preparing for two seemingly favorable games against Rotherham United and Birmingham City, with Bet365 facing Brighton in the third round of the FA Cup. The Stoke City vs. Brighton verdict leans heavily in favor of the visitors, but with home advantage, Stoke are determined to upset their opponents.
According to statistics, in the last 2 seasons, Stoke have all passed the 3rd round in the FA Cup competition. Manager Schumacher is keen to improve his side’s home form, as Stoke have won only 2 of their last 11 matches at Bet365 Stadium, including 7 draws. There is a statistic against the hosts, according to which they have lost their last 8 FA Cup matches against Premier League teams, and they have not won any of their previous 3 meetings with Brighton.
On the other side of the line, after ending 2023 impressively with a 4-2 win at home to Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League, Brighton just played out a 0-0 draw at West Ham. It was a game in which West Ham goalkeeper Alphonse Areola made eight saves. Despite failing to score, the Seagulls have kept their first clean sheet in the Premier League this season.
Roberto De Zerbi’s side has failed to score in two of their last four matches, and they have also drawn only one of their last 44 matches. However, a point won at the London Stadium helped Brighton climb to 7th place in the Premier League table, just three points behind 6th-placed West Ham.
After being knocked out in the 3rd round of the League Cup by Chelsea, Brighton did not want to continue their early stop in the FA Cup. Brighton’s record in the 3rd round of the FA Cup in recent times is quite good; they have only stopped once in this round in the last 7 seasons.
The Seagulls reached the semi-finals of the FA Cup last season, but they have often struggled to march to Stoke’s ground, having won just 1, drawn 8, and lost 9 of their last 18 games at the Bet365 Stadium, although that only victory was a 1-0 win in the 5th round of the FA Cup last February.
On the strength front, Stoke will be without Thompson due to suspension, with Josh Laurent (ankle) and Enda Stevens (foot) injured, while the availability of Lynden Gooch (calf) and Tyrese Campbell is open. Junior Tchamadeu has returned to focus with Cameroon to prepare for the Africa Cup of Nations.
On the Brighton side, Kaoru Mitoma has been called up to Japan’s squad for the Asian Cup despite being treated for an ankle injury, while Solly March, Julio Enciso, Joel Veltman (all in the knee), Ansu Fati, Simon Adingra, Tariq Lamptey (all in the thigh), and Igor Julio remain in the treatment room. However, captain Lewis Dunk could return from suspension and could partner Adam Webster or Jan Paul van Hecke at center-back, with Jack Hinshelwood and Pervis Estupinan most likely to start on the wings. Evan Ferguson, who scored the only goal in last year’s win over Stoke, hopes to make the first team, while Jakub Moder, Carlos Baleba, Mahmoud Dahoud, and Adam Lallana are also hoping to start from the start.
Stoke City vs. Brighton preview
Brighton, after a disappointing period, have also played better in recent times, with their superior force being rated higher than Stoke City, which is understandable. However, the home team has also improved markedly in terms of performance under the new manager; they have always played extremely well against Brighton at home. In terms of head-to-head records, Brighton proved to be inferior to Stoke City. The reason is because in the previous 11 meetings, Brighton only won two but lost to Stoke City seven times. With the current situation, the Bet 365 team is confident they can make it difficult for the visitors.
This match is expected to be scoreless. 6/7 of Stoke City’s last games and 5/6 of Brighton’s past games have not had more than 3 goals.
Score prediction: Stoke City 1-1 Brighton